Luka Doncic NBA MVP odds (Massive value on Mavericks star with team surging in standings)

Luka Doncic could be undervalued in the NBA MVP race this season with the Mavericks making a push for a higher seed in the Western Conference.
Dallas Mavericks guard Luka Doncic.
Dallas Mavericks guard Luka Doncic. / Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports

The Dallas Mavericks entered the All-Star break as one of the hottest teams in the NBA, and that’s thrust Luka Doncic back into the MVP conversation. 

Doncic is having an unbelievable season from a numbers perspective, but it hadn’t been translating into enough wins for Dallas. Doncic may still be undervalued in the odds to win the MVP, even though he’s seen his price climb with the Mavs’ recent win streak. 

In ESPN’s MVP straw poll, Doncic lagged behind Nikola Jokic and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, receiving just three first-place votes. 

Still, there is an argument for the Mavs star, and his current odds at FanDuel Sportsbook of +1100 could end up being a massive value if the team makes a run in the second half of the season. 

NBA MVP odds after All-Star break

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Luka Doncic is undervalued in NBA MVP conversation

If there is a dark horse to consider in this race, it's Doncic, and he may be undervalued at this price

The Mavericks star is averaging 34.2 points, 8.8 rebounds, and 9.5 assists per game, ranking second in the NBA in Player Impact Estimate. Only Nikola Jokic (the MVP favorite) outranks Doncic in this category. 

However, Dallas hasn't enjoyed the team success it needs for Doncic to win MVP -- at this point in the season. Only two MVPs since 1983 have won the award without finishing in the top three in their respective conference during the regular season. Those players are Jokic and Russell Westbrook, who both won the MVP as the No. 6 seed.

Right now, Dallas and Doncic hold the No. 7 seed in the Western Conference, even though the team won six straight games heading into the All-Star break. 

If the Mavericks can keep winning at such a high rate, Doncic’s stock is going to skyrocket – as he’d have the numbers and the team success to make sense as the MVP. 

The additions of Daniel Gafford, and PJ Washington, and the health of Kyrie Irving are all reasons to believe in a Dallas leap following the All-Star break. With Doncic leading the way, there is certainly an argument for him to win MVP.

Jokic is going to be hard to overtake in this race, but one could make the argument that Doncic has better numbers than any MVP candidate this season. If he can catch SGA or Jokic in the standings, he might have a shot at his first league MVP.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

Find Peter Dewey's NBA betting record here (futures included). You can also follow my daily plays on BetStamp here.