Best NBA prop bets today for Mavericks-Warriors (Target Luka Doncic)

A look at the best prop bets to consider for the Dallas Mavericks’ road matchup Tuesday against the Golden State Warriors. 

Mar 31, 2024; Houston, Texas, USA; Dallas Mavericks guard Luka Doncic (77) reacts after scoring a basket against the Rockets.
Mar 31, 2024; Houston, Texas, USA; Dallas Mavericks guard Luka Doncic (77) reacts after scoring a basket against the Rockets. | Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports

It's always must-set TV when the Dallas Mavericks and Golden State Warriors clash. With high-profile superstars set to take the floor, here some player props to consider when the two teams meet for the third time this season Tuesday night.

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Best NBA prop bets today for Mavericks-Warriors

  • Luka Doncic OVER 43.5 points+rebounds 
  • Andrew Wiggins OVER 4.5 rebounds 
  • Golden State Warriors first-half team total UNDER 59.5 points

Luka Doncic OVER 43.5 points+rebounds

Doncic has been on a different level since the All-Star Break and has fueled the red-hot Mavericks 11-1 stretch over their last 12 games. Doncic is coming off a 47-point, 12-rebound performance in Sunday’s road win over another scoring team in the Rockets and has a great track record against the Warriors. 

Doncic has gone over this total of points+rebounds in four of his last six matchups against Golden State. Earlier this season, he torched the Warriors for 39 points and 8 rebounds (along with 10 assists). These offenses will run up and down the court and expect Doncic, the NBA’s leading scorer who shoots more than anyone in the league (23.6 field goal attempts per game) to let it fly early and often against the Warriors. 

Andrew Wiggins OVER 4.5 rebounds  

Wiggins has averaged 13.5 points over the last two months, but has improved the most on the glass. The former No. 1 overall pick averages exactly this total in rebounds per game (4.5), but that number jumped to 5.5 in March.

Wiggins has gone over this number in nine of the last 10 games and in four straight overall. In both matchups against the Mavericks this season, Wiggins grabbed five rebounds. He can attack the glass with success on Tuesday night against a Dallas defense that allows 11.1 offensive rebounds per game, which is 26th in the NBA. 

Golden State Warriors first-half team total UNDER 59.5 points

This might be a matchup of two explosive offenses, though it's been the Dallas defense that has made leaps over the Mavericks' current winning streak. Dallas has held seven consecutive opponents to 107 points or less and nine out of 10 overall, including four times limiting the opposition below triple digits.

Containing Golden State is easier said than done, though the Warriors are just 13th in the NBA in first-half scoring (57.8 points per game) and have gone under this total in five consecutive games. Dallas is only 22nd in the league in first-half scoring defense, but have held opponents to 52.7 points per first half in the last three games. The Mavericks held Golden State under this first-half total in each of the previous two meetings this season.


Game odds update periodically and are subject to change.

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