Dallas Mavericks: NumberFire’s Latest NBA Playoff Projections

Jan 31, 2016; Dallas, TX, USA; Dallas Mavericks guard Deron Williams (8) checks out a replay screen during the second half against the Phoenix Suns at the American Airlines Center. The Mavericks defeated the Suns 91-78. Mandatory Credit: Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports
Jan 31, 2016; Dallas, TX, USA; Dallas Mavericks guard Deron Williams (8) checks out a replay screen during the second half against the Phoenix Suns at the American Airlines Center. The Mavericks defeated the Suns 91-78. Mandatory Credit: Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports /
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50 games into the 2015-16 NBA regular season the Dallas Mavericks sit in sixth place with a record of 28-22. Will they move up? Slide? Here are the latest playoff projections from our friends at numberFire.

We’re 50 games into the regular season and all things considered, the Dallas Mavericks are overachieving.

As of February 1st, the team checks in at sixth place in the Western Conference standings, a game behind the Memphis Grizzlies and three games ahead of the 25-25 Houston Rockets. Not too bad for a team many projected to be absent from postseason play entirely this summer.

Our friends over at numberFire are constantly crunching the numbers, and they sent over their latest projections for the Mavericks this season.

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The good news? They say there is a 97.85% chance the Mavericks make the postseason. That’s probably a safe assumption at this point, though Dallas is a measly five games up on the ninth place Utah Jazz, who could be a decent point guard away from making a strong push following the All-Star break.

Plus, the Houston Rockets (8-6) and Portland Trailblazers (9-5) just wrapped up winning months in January.

The not so good news? numberFire gives the Mavericks just a 0.15% chance of raising their second championship banner this season. The top four seeds out west are pretty much locked up at the moment, but check out the seeding projections for the Mavs:

Wins: 44.08 – 37.92 (Change: 0.57 wins)
Division: 0% (Change: 0%)
Playoffs: 97.85% (Change: 2.6%)

  • 5-seed: 36.9% (Change: 1.1%)
  • 6-seed: 38.2% (Change: 7.4%)
  • 7-seed: 15.75% (Change: -0.35%)
  • 8-seed: 5.5% (Change: -2.35%)

Conference Champion: 0.75% (Change: 0.3%)
NBA Champion: 0.15% (Change: 0%)
Power Rankings: 14 (Last Week: 13)

numberFire sees the Mavericks staying in sixth place but lot of this can change before the end of the season, especially if Chandler Parsons can maintain his current play and Wesley Matthews finds his groove offensively. numberFire will stay up to date with the math, so be on the lookout.

Make sure to visit the site, and follow them on Twitter @numberFire.